Originally posted by Sam Flynn
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You have previously argued that the probability of them finding it was 1/(365-weekends). You are accepting -clearly- that the days before March are in your consideration.
But you say that days before 1992 cannot be.
You are arguing against yourself - you say time before 1992 cannot be considerd , that the "scenario" confines us to 1992 as Barret could not have ecalled before they found it.
yet you accept - by your calculation - that he could have, for the purpose of a probability calculation - rung in february.
Before they found it.
But you say he couldnt have rung in 1991 - before they foound it - because he could nt have taken posession before they found it.
yet your calculation included January and February - before they found it.
THis is - and I dont care if you are offended or if I get a warning or this gets deleted - nonsense.
You keep repeating it, refuse to back it up, continuosly state it, ignore the fact that pretty much everyone has pointed out how wrong it is and persist in assuring us - on the basis of nothing - that you are right and evertone else is wrong.
P
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